Prime 5 Recession-Proof Housing Markets In 2023

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This text is offered by Hire To Retirement. Learn our editorial guidelines for extra info.

Selecting the best actual property funding so as to add to your portfolio requires ample analysis and intensive data concerning the market that you just’re investing in. A poor choice may end up in your portfolio dropping considerably in worth. When markets begin to dip, and the financial system enters a recession, choosing the right funding turns into much more vital. 

Probably the most rewarding investments are ones that happen in recession-proof markets, that are areas the place houses are in excessive demand no matter how the financial system is performing. Not each market performs the identical. By investing your cash in houses which are located in recession-proof markets, you possibly can profit from constant rental earnings, reasonable appreciation even in poor financial environments, and continued rental will increase YoY. 

Why Now Is a Nice Time to Make investments

The latest market traits point out that 2023 is an efficient time to put money into actual property so long as you deal with the best markets. In latest months, rates of interest have continued to extend. Nonetheless, these will increase have slowed and should come to a cease by the top of this yr. Purchaser demand can be slowing down, which makes it simpler so that you can put money into actual property with no need to make quite a few bids earlier than having one accepted.

Whereas the present state of the financial system is adversely affecting the actual property market as an entire, there are some particular person markets that seem like recession-proof, which signifies that they are going to proceed to carry out effectively in comparison with the nationwide housing market. 

When figuring out markets which are thought of to be recession-proof, there are a lot of components that needs to be thought of, which embrace every part from the common sale worth to the inhabitants numbers. The next presents a complete overview of 5 of the highest recession-proof markets you possibly can put money into all through 2023. 

Kansas Metropolis, Missouri

As the biggest metropolis in Missouri, Kansas Metropolis has lengthy been a preferred vacation spot amongst California residents in addition to people who find themselves transferring from different massive Midwest cities. There are quite a few pieces of data and statistics that time in direction of Kansas Metropolis being recession-proof. As an example, the median sale worth within the metropolis has continued to extend, which signifies that purchaser demand isn’t dropping like it’s in cities and cities that aren’t recession-proof.

kansas city median sales price
Kansas Metropolis, Missouri Housing Market Statistics (2018-2023) – Redfin

In each actual property market, dwelling costs often attain their highest within the late spring and summer season months earlier than dipping barely within the winter months when not many consumers are in the marketplace. Whereas that is additionally the case in Kansas Metropolis, the median sale worth has been trending greater for a prolonged time period. The median sale worth as of 2023 is $230,000, which is a YoY improve of round 7%. In June 2022, the median sale worth was $285,000.

All through the approaching months, dwelling values in Kansas Metropolis ought to improve since there are not any indicators that the present financial local weather is impacting the native actual property market. Regardless that houses have change into dearer in Kansas Metropolis, the median worth of $230,000 is extremely inexpensive in comparison with many common markets all through the U.S. Remember the fact that rents don’t fall a lot throughout recessions, which supplies you the chance to cost comparatively excessive rents even if you’re capable of buy a property at an inexpensive worth. 

In January 2023, greater than 400 houses have been bought on this market. House gross sales often get near 1,000 per thirty days throughout the heat summer season months. Over the previous few years, dwelling gross sales within the metropolis have been comparatively constant, which signifies that one of the best time of yr so that you can make investments largely relies on what sort of property you’re shopping for and the way a lot competitors you’re able to cope with. 

Remember the fact that 28% of houses in the marketplace in January 2023 noticed worth drops, which was an 11% YoY improve. On this situation, you may have some negotiating energy when making an attempt to acquire a decrease sale worth. Over the previous decade, Kansas Metropolis’s inhabitants numbers have steadily elevated. The present inhabitants is effectively over 500,000 and has elevated by greater than 50,000 since 2010. If you happen to’re going to be renting out your funding property, you will be assured that there will likely be numerous individuals seeking to hire. 

Akron, Ohio

Akron is one other common midwest metropolis with inexpensive dwelling costs that buyers can benefit from. The present median sale price is just below $107,000, which is near the worth that it was on the similar time final yr. Whereas dwelling values in most cities often attain their peak in June and July, the house costs in Akron matched the June excessive in September 2022.

One other signal that Akron is a recession-proof actual property market is that the variety of days that houses have remained in the marketplace earlier than being bought has been constant. In January 2022, houses have been in the marketplace for a median of 33 days earlier than being bought. One yr later, houses are in the marketplace for a median of 34 days earlier than being bought. 

When a recession happens in markets that aren’t recession-proof, it’s frequent for purchaser demand to drop significantly, which ends up in dwelling stock staying in the marketplace for for much longer than regular. Even with a recession nearing, Akron’s actual property market is sort of sustaining its efficiency when rates of interest have been at their lowest. 

Lehigh Acres, Florida

Lehigh Acres is among the many strongest real estate markets within the U.S. and is good for anybody who’s seeking to put money into actual property throughout 2023. Probably the obvious signal that the Lehigh Acres actual property market is performing effectively is the median sale worth of greater than $327,000, which is sort of 25% greater than the median sale worth in January 2022. 

Regardless that dwelling values are sometimes at their lowest in January, the median worth for a house in Lehigh Acres has solely been barely greater in July, August, and October of final yr. House values have risen considerably over the previous decade. In January 2018, the median sale worth for a house on this metropolis was $165,000, which signifies that the present sale worth is sort of double. 

If you happen to’re seeking to put money into actual property that may give you constant earnings, the house you find yourself investing in ought to respect in worth over time due to the general well being of the Lehigh Acres market. 

Remember the fact that the inhabitants on this metropolis has risen significantly over the previous decade and can possible proceed to take action within the coming years. In 2011, Lehigh Acres was dwelling to a inhabitants of round 92,000. The full inhabitants has elevated yearly and is now located at just below 125,000. As an investor, extra individuals transferring into the town ought to make it simpler so that you can discover tenants and maintain rents excessive.

Indianapolis, Indiana

Indianapolis is one other common actual property market with affordable home values. As of January 2023, the median sale worth for a single-family dwelling in Indianapolis is $215,000, which represents a YoY improve of round 1.5%. In actual fact, there has but to be a single month with out YoY development in dwelling values in 4 years.

Indianapolis housing market stats
Indianapolis, Indiana Housing Market Statistics (2018-2023) – Redfin

5 years in the past, the median sale worth for a house was slightly over $136,000. By investing within the Indianapolis actual property market, you need to have peace of thoughts that your property will respect in worth over time. Houses solely stay in the marketplace for a median of 33 days earlier than being bought, which signifies that there are a lot of consumers and renters in the marketplace. Consumers who can’t afford to buy a house due to the recession usually tend to hire, which signifies that you need to be capable to usher in new tenants with out concern. 

Whereas all houses are being bought comparatively rapidly, houses in common areas of the town go from being listed to pending in simply seven days. Like the opposite cities on this checklist, the inhabitants in Indianapolis has been on a gradual incline for the previous decade. In 2013, round 844,000 individuals have been residing in Indianapolis. 

As we speak, the population is over 900,000 when taking present estimations into consideration. 

One other indication that the market is recession-proof is the anticipated job development within the metropolis. The common fee of employment development within the entirety of Indiana is round 2% in 2023 and 2024. As compared, Indianapolis is anticipated to see employment development of two.9% for a similar two years. Job development signifies that extra individuals will likely be transferring into the town and seeking to hire. 

Birmingham, Alabama

If you happen to’re seeking to put money into a popular real estate market that additionally has inexpensive houses, Birmingham would be the good place to look. The median sale worth for a single-family dwelling was just below $210,000 in December 2022, which marked a 20.7% improve from the identical month in 2021. Whenever you buy a house in Birmingham, you need to obtain a property that may improve in worth as you maintain it. 

Remember the fact that actual property is commonly thought of a hedge in opposition to inflation. At a time when different investments are inclined to drop in worth, actual property values sometimes improve. You can too preserve a excessive earnings in a recession-proof market due to the power to cost constant rents. 

The median rent for a one-bedroom residence in Birmingham is $1,298 as of February 2023, which is a pointy YoY improve of 27%. With this info in thoughts, you may have the chance to purchase at a low worth and hire out the property at a worth that’s a lot greater than the month-to-month mortgage can be. 

One motive why Birmingham is a recession-proof market is due to the fixed job development that the town experiences. Over the previous yr, the town has had job growth of around 2%. Current estimates state that job development within the metropolis throughout the subsequent decade needs to be round 29%. Investing in a metropolis with excessive job development signifies that you need to be capable to keep away from tenancy points. A scorching job market sometimes signifies that the actual property market may even be common.

income population by percent birmingham alabama
Earnings by Inhabitants as a Share in Birmingham, Alabama and the State of Alabama – Best Places


Actual property is one sort of funding that you just don’t have to cease including to your portfolio when a recession hits. Throughout poor financial instances, you might be able to maintain your earnings excessive and scale back portfolio losses by investing in markets which are thought of to be recession-proof. 

The 5 aforementioned markets have all confirmed to be common locations amongst consumers. Whenever you put money into one in every of these markets, it’s possible that the worth of your property will proceed to extend the longer you maintain it. 

This text is offered by Hire To Retirement


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Word By BiggerPockets: These are opinions written by the writer and don’t essentially signify the opinions of BiggerPockets.


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