US Dollar (DXY) Price and Chart Analysis
- US inflation turns decrease however stays at elevated ranges.
- Banking contagion fears proceed to stalk the market.
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Headline inflation (y/y) within the US fell by 0.4% to six% in February, according to analysts’ expectations, whereas core inflation nudged 0.1% decrease to five.5%, additionally according to forecasts. According to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics,
‘The index for shelter was the largest contributor to the monthly all items increase, accounting for over 70 percent of the increase, with the indexes for food, recreation, and household furnishings and operations also contributing. The food index increased 0.4 percent over the month with the food at home index rising 0.3 percent. The energy index decreased 0.6 percent over the month as the natural gas and fuel oil indexes both declined.’
For all market-moving knowledge releases and financial occasions see the real-time DailyFX Calendar.
US Dollar Grips on as SVB Fallout Brings US CPI into View Ahead of the Fed
The current bout of banking contagion concern, sparked by the Silicon Valley Bank failure, will stay uppermost within the Fed’s pondering once they announce their newest financial coverage choice on March twenty second. While the central financial institution’s actions in making depositors entire have eased considerations, the concern that different, smaller, banks are sitting on unrealised bond losses will proceed, particularly if the Fed continues to hike rates of interest. Market expectations for additional charge hikes have been pared again sharply in the previous few days, but when inflation stays excessive then chair Powell and his colleagues must determine whether or not to proceed to push down on inflation by tightening financial circumstances or to attend and see if prior charge hikes begin passing by the system and dampen value pressures.
The US greenback slipped 15 pips after the discharge earlier than recouping these small losses and buying and selling flat. The US greenback is at present battling contrasting forces of banking contagion fears and decrease US Treasury yields and stays extremely risky.
US Dollar (DXY) March 14, 2023
Chart through TradingView
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