Is ARB about to bounce from the $0.1351 support level, or is ARB going to test lower support? This Arbitrum price prediction begins with ARB trading near the lower line of a falling wedge, a
Is ARB about to bounce from the $0.1351 support level, or is ARB going to test lower support?
This Arbitrum price prediction begins with ARB trading near the lower line of a falling wedge, a pattern of two converging lines that slope down. The widerArbitrum November 2026 forecast hinges on whether buyers defend the nearest support level, a price where buyers have stepped in before. Sellers still cap rallies at each resistance level
CoinGecko market data ranks ARB at 72nd with a market cap of $953.94M.
Metric
Value
Price
$0.1384
7-day change
-16.4%
24h range
$0.1383 to $0.1502
Market cap
$953.94M
FDV
$1.384B
24h volume
$107.56M
Circulating supply
6.892B ARB
Total supply
10B ARB
Source: CoinGecko Data, $ARB market snapshot, captured Nov 14, 2026, 08:27 UTC
Fully diluted valuation, prices every token at today's rate, including supply that hasn't reached the market. Here it sits at $1.384B against a $953.94M market cap.
With 31.1% of the 10B max supply still to reach the market, new tokens can add sell pressure.
Arbiscan holder data shows whales make up 0.03% of holders yet hold 92.45% of the market cap.
Source:ARB holders overview, captured Nov 14, 2026, 08:27 UTC
The top 5 holders account for 39.72% and the top 10 for 47.51%. Ten holders each own at least 1% of total supply. The top 100 hold 71.20%.
When a few wallets hold most of the supply, one large transfer to an exchange can add sell pressure.
Longs are getting hit. Liquidation data from CoinGlass shows $707.09K in long liquidations over 24 hours against $62.96K for shorts. A liquidation is a forced exit when margin on a leveraged trade runs out.
Window
Longs
Shorts
Total
1h
$146.68K
$106.52
$146.79K
4h
$150.68K
$13.67K
$164.35K
12h
$667.37K
$17.04K
$684.41K
24h
$707.09K
$62.96K
$770.06K
the $150.68K in long liquidations over 4 hours, $146.68K hit in the final hour. Over the last 12 hours, longs took $667.37K of the losses. Long liquidations create forced sell orders, so they add pressure on the way down. Short liquidations force buying, and $62.96K is too small to lift price.
Open interest is the total value of futures contracts still open. CoinGlass data puts futures volume at $178.87M over 24 hours.
Source: CoinGlass, $ARB futures volume by exchange, 24h, captured Nov 14, 2026, 08:27 UTC
Binance recorded $67.17M in futures volume, and OKX $25.51M. Bybit added $19.04M and MEXC $12.07M.
Volume fell 33.4% on Binance and 39.9% on OKX against the prior 24 hours. Traders hunting a catalyst can scan thelatest crypto news for token-specific updates. Falling volume reads like fading interest. Actually, make that selective interest, since WhiteBIT volume rose 28.4%.
On open interest, Binance holds $38.07M and Gate $24.75M. Bybit holds $20.12M.
Source: CoinGlass, $ARB futures open interest by exchange, 24h, captured Nov 14, 2026, 08:27 UTC.
Total open interest on CoinGlass is $163.05M, and MEXC fell 45.6%, the sharpest drop. Who's still adding risk? Only Hyperliquid, where open interest rose 5.1% to $13.53M.
Falling open interest during a drop means traders are unwinding positions, so selling pressure comes from exits rather than new shorts.
Source: TradingView, $ARB/USDT 4H, captured Nov 14, 2026, 08:27 UTC
The Binance 4-hour chart on TradingView frames this Arbitrum price prediction. A November rally pushed ARB up to the $0.1880 level before sellers took control.
Before the rally, the price drifted sideways near the $0.1708 resistance level. Buyers broke through, and ARB ran to $0.1880, where sellers rejected the move. The slide that followed took the price under the 50 EMA. Then the price fell through $0.1521, a support level where buyers had stepped in before. Buyers tried twice to reclaim it and failed both times, so a broken support level now acts as a resistance level.
AnyARB resistance breakout has to start at that flipped $0.1521 level. Since the $0.1880 high, the price has moved inside a falling wedge, a pattern where lower highs and lower lows squeeze between two down-sloping lines. A break above the upper trendline is the first bullish sign, and a drop below the lower line tests the $0.1351 support level.
The $ARB 50 EMA sits at $0.1563. $ARB's $0.1384 price trades 11.5% below it, and the latest candle trades below it too. The broken $0.1521 support level sits beneath it, so a real recovery needs a candle trading above both.
The $ARB RSI reads 27.30 on the 14-period setting. Under 50 means sellers hold the edge. Under 30 means selling has gone too far, so a bounce is possible.
Level
Type
$0.1880
Resistance level
$0.1708
Resistance level
$0.1563
50 EMA
$0.1521
Resistance level
$0.1351
Support level
$0.1207
Support level
The nearest support level is $0.1351, and the nearest resistance level is $0.1521.
Scenario
Trigger
Target
Invalidation
Bull
Daily candle trades above $0.1521
$0.1708 then $0.1880
Falls back below $0.1521
Base
Price stays between $0.1351 and $0.1521.
Sideways trade inside that range
Daily candle breaks either level.
Bear
Daily candle trades below $0.1351
$0.1207
Daily candle trades above $0.1521
Risks to this Arbitrum price prediction are mostly technical. A regulatory delay could still hit sentiment. And a daily candle trading above $0.1521 would break the bearish setup.
According to CoinGabbar analysis, this Arbitrum price prediction favors sellers while price trades under the 50 EMA. Longs took 91.8% of 24-hour liquidations, and open interest fell on most major venues. But RSI at 27.30 leaves room for a short bounce toward $0.1521. A sustained recovery needs a candle trading above $0.1563.
The cleaner signal is open interest at support. If it rises while the price holds $0.1351, new buyers are stepping in.
Disclaimer: This article is for information only and isn't financial advice. Traders should do their own research and risk only what they can afford to lose.
