Bitcoin rose to about $84,600 on Wednesday, its highest level since Oct. 7. The rally followed a strong third-quarter report from SpaceX. Late Wednesday trading kept BTC near $84,500, still w
Bitcoin rose to about $84,600 on Wednesday, its highest level since Oct. 7. The rally followed a strong third-quarter report from SpaceX. Late Wednesday trading kept BTC near $84,500, still well below key resistance zones.
SpaceX reported Q3 revenue of $14.6 billion, up 161% from a year earlier and almost 15% above forecasts. Net income was $4.4 billion. Its shares jumped more than 7% on Wednesday.
Why Stocks Drove Bitcoin
Truist analysts said the report was the first earnings data point this season to support the bull case for AI infrastructure. That mattered because AI spending fears caused a tech sell-off last week. It began in South Korea, spread across Asia, and reached US markets by Friday.
Elon Musk also said SpaceX and Tesla have formed special committees to study a merger. CoinDesk reported that a combined company would hold more than 30,000 BTC. Tesla rose over 3% on the news.
Crypto followed equities rather than leading them. Wintermute’s Jasper De Maere told CoinDesk that gains remain tied to the equity rebound, not a new crypto catalyst. That makes Bitcoin’s move dependent on how long tech sentiment holds.
How Bitcoin Got Here
Bitcoin hit an all-time high near $126,200 on Oct. 6, 2025. It fell to about $85,000 by late November and opened 2026 at $87,490. A rally in January failed near $97,100, and price then dropped by more than a third.
BTC traded between roughly $63,000 and $70,000 in February and mid-year. A spring rebound reached just above $82,000 in May and was rejected there. Price then rebuilt through the summer to about $77,000 in mid-September and $83,000 by late September.
October brought tests of $84,000 between Oct. 11 and Oct. 14, which formed resistance. Last week’s tech sell-off pushed BTC back toward $82,000. On Tuesday it reached $83,300 and stalled at the 21-day moving average.
Wednesday’s move cleared that barrier. Bitcoin passed its four-hour 200-period average at $83,878 for the first time since Oct. 14. CoinGlass recorded nearly $110 million in short liquidations over four hours, and forced buying added to the move.
Earnings Keep Coming
Tesla reported Q3 revenue of $28.05 billion and adjusted earnings of 48 cents per share against a 44-cent forecast. Shares rose about 1.5% after hours. Meta reported $64.6 billion in revenue, above the $63.3 billion estimate, and narrowed its capital spending range to $135 billion to $145 billion.
These results extend the earnings run that lifted stocks on Tuesday. GM and 3M also beat forecasts, and the Dow reached its highest level since mid-September. Strategy rose 7% on Wednesday and MARA gained more than 3%.
What Could Stop the Rally
Glassnode data shows heavy resistance above current prices. Investors who bought in late 2025 have a cost basis near $87,700, and many sell when price returns to breakeven. The 2026 open at $87,490 and the 20-month moving average at $87,165 sit in the same zone.
Past rejections at similar levels were costly. Bitcoin fell more than a third after the January rejection and about a quarter after the May one. Glassnode also noted that one-to-two-year holders increased selling during the early October rally.
Macro conditions add risk. WTI crude briefly passed $100 per barrel on Tuesday, and Brent trades near $110. The US 10-year Treasury yield is about 5.15%, and talks with Iran remain unresolved.
Levels to Watch
Analyst Rekt Capital says Bitcoin needs a daily close above $83,400 to target the top of its range. A rejection there could send price back below $82,500. XS.com warned that losing $82,500 could open a drop toward $70,000.
Support is better defined below. Glassnode places the US spot ETF cost basis at $81,500 and the $80,000 level as a magnet for bids. The true market mean sits near $77,500, and the 50-day average is near $81,570.
Spot ETF buyers support the case for staying above $80,000. They have held Bitcoin at an average cost of $81,500, so a drop below that level would put them at a loss. That gives them a reason to defend it, though not a guarantee.
Outlook
Bitcoin has recovered the post-sell-off losses and cleared short-term resistance. The next test is whether it can hold above $83,400 on a daily close without further help from equities. A move beyond $87,700 would need fresh demand strong enough to absorb heavy selling from underwater holders.