Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto expects XRP to experience a difficult first half of November before potentially recording a strong bullish reversal in the second half of the month. His outlook dr
Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto expects XRP to experience a difficult first half of November before potentially recording a strong bullish reversal in the second half of the month.
His outlook draws on historical monthly performance data, which he believes supports a pattern of early weakness followed by stronger price action. However, he has warned that the coming days could bring additional volatility before the anticipated recovery takes shape.
Egrag Crypto accompanied his X post with a chart detailing XRP’s monthly returns over the years, using historical performance to explain his November outlook. He maintained that his expected pattern was unfolding and singled out the next seven to eight days as crucial for XRP’s price action.
#XRP – NOVEMBER 2026 ( DATA and Numbers):
My thesis is PLAYING OUT so far!
Based on #XRP's historical November performance, I've been anticipating:
FIRST 15 DAYS: Weakness, choppy price action, volatility & a potential FINAL SHAKEOUT!
LAST 15 DAYS: My expectation is… pic.twitter.com/hcpuq1aSeK
— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) November 7, 2026
Egrag Crypto divided November into two periods, predicting weakness during the first 15 days and a potentially strong recovery during the final 15 days.
He expects the opening half of the month to bring choppy price action, increased volatility and a possible final shakeout. He also warned that XRP could establish additional local bottoms, produce aggressive price wicks and experience one more liquidity sweep before attempting a recovery.
The historical returns chart attached to his post provides context for his outlook. It shows XRP’s monthly percentage performance from 2013 through October 2026, with November recording an average return of 78.3% and a median return of -9.1%.
The difference between these figures reflects the impact of exceptionally strong November performances in previous years. For example, XRP gained 489.1% in November 2013, 282.9% in November 2024 and 179.2% in November 2020. However, several other years recorded negative returns, including 2025, when XRP declined 14.1%.
Egrag Crypto acknowledged this distinction, reminding XRP investors that historical seasonality provides context rather than guaranteeing future price movements.
Beyond historical price patterns, Egrag Crypto identified geopolitical developments as a potential risk to his November outlook.
He specifically mentioned a possible escalation of conflict in the Middle East, warning that such an event could push oil prices higher and trigger panic across risk assets. Under this scenario, the broader cryptocurrency market could experience a sharp but potentially short-lived decline.
He described a hypothetical situation involving an intense market disruption lasting approximately seven days, followed by a possible recovery. However, he clarified that this scenario represents a hypothesis rather than a confirmed geopolitical forecast.
Despite the possibility of further declines, Egrag Crypto has maintained his broader November expectations. His central thesis remains a weak first half followed by a strong second half, with the potential for an aggressive bullish reversal and increased upward momentum.
The analyst’s immediate focus remains on the next seven to eight days, which he considers critical to XRP’s short-term direction. Whether the cryptocurrency establishes another local bottom or begins recovering sooner will provide further information about how November’s price action develops.
For now, Egrag Crypto continues to favor a stronger second half of November, while acknowledging that historical performance and current market conditions cannot guarantee the outcome.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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