XRP has spent nearly two weeks in a sustained decline, and one widely followed analyst is now publicly revising one of his most discussed price models. EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) says the fr
XRP has spent nearly two weeks in a sustained decline, and one widely followed analyst is now publicly revising one of his most discussed price models.
EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) says the fractal he has built around XRP’s price behavior requires adjustment, not abandonment.
EGRAG CRYPTO’s updated analysis has one key change. He is no longer anchoring the fractal to the low of the previous cycle. Instead, he has shifted the starting point. The previous fractal never broke its lows. This cycle is behaving differently, and that difference is what forced his hand.
XRP has been falling for approximately 11 days. The price, now sitting at roughly $0.9495, is pressing against levels that EGRAG CRYPTO considers structurally significant. The red horizontal line on his weekly chart sits near $1.0359. A weekly close below it is what concerns him most.
He describes such a close as “ugly as fuck,” and the chart makes clear why. That level has held as a reference point across multiple cycles.
#XRP – THE FRACTAL NEEDS AN UPDATE! THINGS ARE GETTING UGLY!
GUYS, LOOK AT THE WEEKLY CHART!
The previous cycle's fractal needs ADJUSTMENT!
The starting point is not the low of last cycle but shifted ( This is My Stance)
— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) November 14, 2026
The analyst identifies a recovery zone between $1.0359 and $1.1795. He expects a potential relief bounce into this range after the extended selling pressure. Above that, $1.25 represents what he calls a stronger bullish confirmation.
These are not arbitrary numbers. They correspond to visible structural zones on the weekly chart, including a gray consolidation band that price needs to reclaim to stabilize. The downside scenario is more severe. If Bitcoin prints another lower low, EGRAG CRYPTO puts $0.70 to $0.60 on the table for XRP.
He is direct about how unexpected that level would be. “Even in my wildest dreams, I never expected that,” he writes.
Despite the pressure, the analyst is not walking away from the fractal. He is updating it. His longer-term projection still shows XRP moving significantly higher through 2028 and 2029, with the chart displaying a projected rally into the $7-$9 range.
The current price action, in his view, represents a deviation from the fractal’s ideal path, not a disqualification of the setup. He closes his post with a clear statement of intent. He is not abandoning the fractal, but adjusting it to match the current price action. He adds that he will continue updating his model as conditions develop.
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