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Markets

Hedera Price Prediction: Ascending Channel Support Faces Key Test

This Hedera price prediction comes right as Hedera is being tested on two fronts at once: a fresh partnership with Mastercard on the fundamental side and a make-or-break retest of channel sup

AnonymousCryptoCompass newsroom
August 5, 2026
4 min read
NEWS
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This Hedera price prediction comes right as Hedera is being tested on two fronts at once: a fresh partnership with Mastercard on the fundamental side and a make-or-break retest of channel support on the chart. 

How $HBAR handles this level could set the tone for its next major move.

HBAR Slips 2% As Traders Watch Channel Support

Any $HBAR price prediction today starts with where the price sits right now. 

Any HBAR price prediction today

$HBAR is trading around $0.06899, down 2.39% over the last 24 hours. Market cap stands at $3.02 billion, while 24-hour trading volume has actually risen 13.7% to $39.6 million, putting Vol/Mkt Cap at 1.31%. 

Circulating supply is 43.79B $HBAR out of a 50B max supply, with FDV at $3.44 billion.Circulating supply is 43.79B HBAR

The weekly trend is still mildly positive at +0.95%, but the picture weakens further out: 30-day is -9.35%, 90-day is -24.48%, and year-to-date is down 35.03%.

Data source: Coinglass/CoinMarketCap

Mastercard Partnership Adds A Fundamental Tailwind

Hashgraph, an extension of Hedera, has joined Mastercard's Crypto Partner Program to collaborate on cross-border payments, B2B transactions, and settlement, pairing Mastercard's global reach with $HBAR's speed and finality.Hashgraph, an extension of Hedera,

It's a notable fundamental boost landing right as $HBAR tests key technical support.

Daily Technical Analysis: Hedera Holds Ascending Channel Support

On the TradingView daily timeframe, HBAR continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel, with price currently testing the channel's lower trendline near $0.06903.HBAR continues to trade within

Despite the recent pullback, there's no confirmed breakdown signal yet—price is still respecting the channel structure.

A breakdown would only be confirmed if a daily candle closes decisively below the lower boundary of the channel. 

Until that happens, this move is better read as a normal retest of support rather than a reversal.

If buyers defend the channel, first resistance sits at $0.07337, followed by $0.07744, with a sustained breakout opening the door to $0.08381. 

If the channel fails and $HBAR closes decisively below support, the next levels to watch are $0.06737, $0.06526, and $0.05859.

Daily Sentiment:

NEUTRAL. The broader bullish structure stays intact as long as the channel holds; the next directional move depends on whether buyers defend this level or sellers force a confirmed breakdown.

Derivatives Lean Bullish

Derivatives data is one of the more encouraging parts of this $HBAR price prediction. Derivatives data is one of the

Long/short ratios are tilted toward longs across the board: 1.4349 on Binance and 1.51 on OKX by account. 

Binance's top traders are even more skewed long, at 1.8852 by account and 2.305 by position.Liquidations over the past

Liquidations over the past 24 hours totaled $33.14K, with $30.41K. from longs versus just $2.73K from shorts, a sign that dip buyers have been getting shaken out during the pullback rather than short sellers being squeezed.

Open interest sits at $83.10 million

Open interest sits at $83.10 million, down from around $150 million in early June but holding fairly steady in recent weeks, suggesting positioning has cooled off rather than capitulated.

Data source: coinglass

Volume Stays Binance-Heavy

Binance leads HBAR futures volume at $19.24 million, followed by BingX ($9.55M), LBank ($9.35M), Bybit ($7.23M), and OKX ($5.95M), with smaller contributions from MEXC, WhiteBIT, Bitunix, Bitget, and KuCoin.own from around $150 million

HBAR Price Prediction: Bull, Neutral, And Bear Case

Scenario

Levels

Bullish (above 0.07337)

0.07744, then 0.08381

Neutral

0.06737 – 0.07337

Bearish (below 0.06737)

0.06526, 0.05859

What We're Watching Next

The immediate focus remains on whether HBAR can defend its ascending channel support and reclaim $0.07337. 

A strong daily close above that level would strengthen the bullish case, while a confirmed breakdown below the channel could shift momentum toward the next support zones at $0.06737 and $0.06526.

Analyst View

As per the Coingabbar analyst, the fact that HBAR is only retesting channel support rather than breaking it, even after a 2% daily drop, is a reasonably healthy sign; it suggests the pullback is more about profit-taking than a genuine shift in trend. 

The Mastercard news landing at the same time only adds to the case that dips here are being bought for a reason rather than ignored.

Still, a channel is only as good as its last successful defense. Until buyers actually step up and push the price back through resistance, this HBAR price prediction stays a wait-and-watch call rather than a confirmed bullish continuation.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly risky and subject to significant price volatility. Please do your own research and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions