China's Moonshot AI has made its flagship Kimi K3 model freely available for public download after releasing its full model weights. The move marks a significant moment in the global AI race,
China's Moonshot AI has made its flagship Kimi K3 model freely available for public download after releasing its full model weights. The move marks a significant moment in the global AI race, and the model wasted little time attracting attention from the crypto community, producing a year-end Bitcoin price projection after just 20 minutes of analysis.
What Kimi K3 Said About Bitcoin
Kimi K3 projected that $BTC could close the year near $92,000, assigning a 50% probability to that base case. The model also outlined a more optimistic scenario, with upside extending to $138,000. Its reasoning rested on three pillars: strong ETF inflows, post-halving supply dynamics, and continued corporate buying.
Those drivers are grounded in real market data. Since the SEC approved spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024, cumulative inflows have reached $58.72 billion as of May 2026. More recently, Q1 2026 alone added $18.7 billion in net ETP inflows, putting the year on pace to exceed both 2024 and 2025 if the trend holds. On the corporate side, institutional accumulation has remained a persistent theme, with pension funds, hedge funds, and major banks all participating in Bitcoin ETF products.
Kimi K3's projections are not investment advice, and AI-generated price forecasts carry inherent limitations. Still, the fact that a frontier-level open-weight model can synthesise on-chain and macro data into a structured price outlook in under half an hour is notable in itself.
About Kimi K3
Moonshot AI released the full Kimi K3 model weights and technical report, opening its 2.8 trillion parameter model to developers and researchers.The model activates 104 billion parameters during inference and uses a mixture of experts architecture with 896 experts, selecting 16 for each token, while supporting a context window of more than 1 million tokens.
With 2.8 trillion parameters, Kimi K3 holds the distinction of being the largest open-weight model publicly available, according to Bloomberg.The company published the weights on Hugging Face and released the technical report through its official GitHub repository.Moonshot said the architectural changes deliver approximately 2.5 times greater scaling efficiency than Kimi K2.
The release signals a broader shift in the AI landscape. Founder Yang Zhilin has said the company wants to grow its user base through openness and broader availability than competing proprietary systems in the U.S., according to Bloomberg. Whether Kimi K3's Bitcoin call proves accurate or not, the model's ability to engage with complex financial questions at this level will likely draw further scrutiny from analysts and crypto investors alike.
Sources:Crypto Briefing: Moonshot completes Kimi K3 rollout with full model weight releaseVentureBeat: China's Moonshot AI releases Kimi K3, the largest open-source model everInvesting.com: Bitcoin ETFs Gain as Institutional Demand Continues to Support Flows