Polkadot is doing this again. $DOT is trading at $1.1324, roughly flat on the day, after already climbing close to 15% within its current range on the back of a fresh channel breakout. This i
Polkadot is doing this again. $DOT is trading at $1.1324, roughly flat on the day, after already climbing close to 15% within its current range on the back of a fresh channel breakout.
This isn't the first time this setup has played out either; the chart shows two earlier breakouts that both delivered strong runs.
This Polkadot price prediction looks at whether a third one is now forming and what it could mean for price.
Market data checked on September 19, 2026.
Window
Total Liquidated
Long
Short
12h
$143.07K
$123.80K
$19.27K
24h
$378.39K
$173.55K
$204.84K
Source: Data From CoinGlass
Liquidations are fairly balanced between longs and shorts over the past 24 hours, suggesting today's move is more about positioning inside the range than a one-sided squeeze.
DOT is trading at $1.1324. What stands out is the pattern behind this move. 
The channel breakouts on the chart: First delivered a 35.19% gain, the second a bigger 50.54% gain, and DOT has now broken out of a third falling channel, up close to 15% off this range's base already, with the tool projecting a 65.27% move if this breakout matches the size of the previous two.
The EMA cluster near $0.9441 to $1.0139 sits well below the current price and marks the deeper support zone from before this move started.
Just below the current price, $1.0747 is the level DOT broke out from, now acting as near-term support.
Above, the next resistance is $1.2530, and the chart's own projection tops out near $1.6821 if the pattern repeats.
Level Type
Price
Resistance 2 (projection target)
$1.6821
Resistance 1
$1.2530
Immediate Price Reference
$1.1324
Support (breakout level)
$1.0747
EMA Support
$0.9441 – $1.0139
Bull case: Holding above $1.0747 while clearing $1.2530 would keep this third breakout on track for a move toward $1.6821, matching the scale of the prior two.
Bear case: A drop back below $1.0747 and the EMA cluster near $0.9441 to $1.0139 would suggest this attempt is fading rather than repeating the earlier pattern.
Possible if this third breakout ends up matching the size of the first two, which is exactly what the chart's measured-move pattern projects.
It's a multi-stage move though DOT still needs to clear $1.2530 first before $1.6821 becomes a realistic target.
According to CoinGabbar analysts, the repeating shape of these breakouts is the most interesting part of this chart; two prior moves landed close to their measured targets, and a third is now forming from a similar setup.
Balanced liquidations suggest the market hasn't picked a clear side yet, which makes $1.2530 the level worth watching most.
This article is for informational purposes only and isn't financial advice. Crypto markets are volatile, and prices can move sharply. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions involving DOT.
