A recent analysis by ChartNerd (@ChartNerdTA) shows XRP could be entering another phase that has appeared several times during its long-term price history. The analyst believes the current se
A recent analysis by ChartNerd (@ChartNerdTA) shows XRP could be entering another phase that has appeared several times during its long-term price history.
The analyst believes the current setup closely matches previous market cycles, with his latest analysis focusing on the monthly Gaussian Channel and a pattern that has repeatedly appeared before major advances.
He shared a long-term chart and said XRP has “a common date with destiny” when it comes to finding macro bottoms, moving into vertical accumulation, and later delivering strong price expansion over multi-year periods.
XRP Returns to a Familiar Technical Pattern
ChartNerd noted that XRP has remained in a 12-month bear market after falling 72% from its all-time high of $3.65 in July 2025. He added that the price successfully tagged the 2-week lower regression band, which produced what he described as “a key historical reversal signal” for only the fourth time in XRP’s history.
He then shifted attention to the monthly chart, where he believes the next key level sits on the upper regression band of the Gaussian Channel. The analyst wrote that this higher time horizon carries greater significance because previous macro bottoms aligned with the same technical structure.
The Repeating Cycle Before Major Advances
The chart highlights several long-term cycles dating back to 2014. In each example, XRP entered an extended decline before moving into a green consolidation zone labelled “VERTICAL ACCUMULATION.”
Each accumulation period developed around the monthly Gaussian Channel before a sharp breakout. The chart also marks every preceding decline as a bear market, creating a repeating sequence of correction, accumulation, and strong upward expansion.
The latest section projects a similar path. It places XRP inside another accumulation zone after the recent decline and illustrates a potential breakout extending into the coming years.
The Importance of the Monthly Gaussian Channel
ChartNerd said the monthly upper regression band has yet to receive a fresh test during the current cycle. While he identified $0.88 as the current level, he also acknowledged that the final bottom could develop elsewhere.
He wrote, “Wherever we bottom out, be it $1.08, or if we drag lower below the monthly GC as history suggests,” investors should begin considering the possibility of a macro bottom taking shape.
The Markup That Could Follow Accumulation
ChartNerd’s outlook centres on the same sequence shown throughout the chart. Rather than focusing on short-term price swings, the analysis places greater weight on recurring multi-year technical behaviour. After the market establishes a macro bottom, he expects another period of vertical accumulation before XRP enters its next major markup phase.
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