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Markets

Strategy Moves 411 Bitcoin To Coinbase As Sell Odds Hit 84%

$30 Million Bitcoin Transfer Raises Eyebrows Michael Saylor's Strategy has deposited 411.48 $BTC, worth approximately $30.3 million, into Coinbase Prime, according to onchain analytics platfo

AnonymousCryptoCompass newsroom
May 29, 2026
2 min read
NEWS
Strategy Moves 411 Bitcoin To Coinbase As Sell Odds Hit 84%
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$30 Million Bitcoin Transfer Raises Eyebrows

Michael Saylor's Strategy has deposited 411.48 $BTC, worth approximately $30.3 million, into Coinbase Prime, according to onchain analytics platform Lookonchain. A wallet tracked within the broader Strategy onchain footprint moved Bitcoin to Coinbase on May 29, immediately feeding debate across prediction markets and trading desks.

The transfer does not prove a sale. Large corporate holders can move assets for custody, collateral, rebalancing, operational routing, or exchange-related settlement without liquidating the position. Strategy has issued no official statement explaining the deposit.

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong has previously acknowledged that eight of the top 10 publicly traded companies with Bitcoin on their balance sheets use Coinbase Prime, making the platform a standard choice for institutional custody rather than a signal of imminent selling.

Prediction Markets Price In an 84% Chance of a Sale

On Polymarket, traders priced the chance of Strategy selling any Bitcoin by the end of 2026 near 84%, with roughly $33 million in trading volume tied to the question. That marks a dramatic shift in sentiment. Polymarket had previously priced in just a 10% chance that the company would sell Bitcoin before the end of 2026, a probability that has since jumped to 84%.

The backdrop matters. CEO Phong Le told analysts the company would consider selling Bitcoin to retire debt or boost its per-share Bitcoin metric whenever it proves accretive, after Strategy reported a net loss of $12.54 billion in Q1 2026, driven primarily by unrealized mark-to-market losses on its Bitcoin treasury position.

Strategy has been one of the largest corporate Bitcoin accumulators since 2020, using the digital asset as a primary vehicle for treasury management.For four years, Michael Saylor's refrain was unambiguous: Strategy would never sell its Bitcoin. Whether the Coinbase deposit signals a change in that posture remains unclear, and no sale has been confirmed.

Sources:CryptoAdventure: Strategy Bitcoin Deposit To Coinbase Sparks Fresh Sell-Off SpeculationFinanceFeeds: Strategy's 'Never Sell' Bitcoin Pledge Faces 78% Odds of Breaking in 2026Protos: Is Coinbase Holding MicroStrategy's Bitcoin?