The XRP price has been in a consolidation phase, holding firm above the $1.00 support level. While this price action has many traders waiting for direction, one indicator suggests the macro b
The XRP price has been in a consolidation phase, holding firm above the $1.00 support level. While this price action has many traders waiting for direction, one indicator suggests the macro bottom may already be in place.
The 40-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) for XRP currently sits around 42.7, and the token is approaching a reclaim of the macro support region near 44. This level has played a major role in previous cycles.
Recent XRP price action is set against a backdrop of both progress and selling pressure. The token faces near-term headwinds from institutional outflows, but the underlying network continues to build for the future.
Major XRPL Upgrade Enters Voting
The XRP Ledger is set for a key protocol upgrade, with validators voting on amendments in roughly two weeks. Features include Batch for bundling transactions, Confidential Transfers for privacy, and an improved token standard.
Real Estate Tokenization Begins on Ledger
The USA and Dubai have officially started placing real-world assets onto the XRP Ledger. Financial expert Levi reported that real estate tokenization has begun and aligns with broader institutional plans to tokenize trillions in traditional assets over the next decade.
XRP Sees $7.5M in Net Outflows
On July 20, flow data showed XRP experienced a net outflow of $7.5 million, placing it among the top assets for institutional selling. This shows a lack of institutional buying appetite and suggests the token is under relative selling pressure.
The RSI is a momentum indicator that measures the speed and change of price movements. For XRP, the 44 level on the 40-day RSI has major historical importance.
This level previously acted as major cycle support. After breaking below it, that former support now becomes resistance. A confirmed move above 44.11 would suggest several things:
XRP’s price has struggled since breaking below this support level, but the current reclaim attempt is the first real test of whether the market is ready to turn. The 44 level is not just a random number. It also shows the boundary between bearish and bullish RSI structure for this token.
#XRP 40-Day RSI – The Macro Reclaim Zone:The RSI is currently around 42.7, we need to reclaim the macro support region near 44.. It has not fully reclaimed it yet on a confirmed candle close.
— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) July 20, 2026Why 44. matters:
The 44 RSI level previously acted as major cycle support. After… pic.twitter.com/tYraFzqp21
The 40-day timeframe smooths out daily noise and gives a better picture of the macro trend. When XRP’s RSI dropped below 44 in previous cycles, the token generally experienced extended drawdowns.
For XRP to confirm a macro bottom, the RSI needs to follow a specific sequence. The strongest structure would be:
Break 44 → reach 47 → retest 44 as support → continue higher.
A sustained break above 47 for the XRP price would strengthen the argument that RSI is changing from bottoming into expansion. This would be the first real confirmation that the bearish momentum has fully dissipated.
Once XRP’s RSI reclaims 47, the path to new levels opens up. The next levels to watch include:
The 44 reclaim is the first major signal, but the 47 break followed by a successful 44 retest would be the cleaner confirmation that XRP’s macro RSI structure is turning bullish.
Read also: Here’s How High Can Stellar (XLM) Price Go This Week
XRP’s next move is decided by a contrast between foundational progress on its ledger and immediate capital outflows from its token. The important question now is whether the build-up of real-world utility can soon outweigh the current institutional disinterest.
The ecosystem news is objectively positive. A major upgrade entering the voting phase shows developers are actively building on XRPL.
Real estate tokenization beginning on the ledger validates the network’s utility beyond payments. These are long-term bullish developments that could drive adoption and transaction volume.
The RSI setup provides a potential turning point. If XRP’s price can hold above $1.00 while the RSI reclaims and holds 44, the technical picture would improve substantially.
The confirmation sequence of breaking 44, reaching 47, and retesting 44 as support would be the cleanest signal that the macro bottom is in.
But this is not a guarantee. The token could fail to hold the 44 reclaim and slide lower. Until the RSI confirms the break and retest, XRP’s price remains in a precarious position.
The most likely outcome is continued consolidation around the $1.00 level until the RSI picture clarifies.
A $1,000 XRP price is widely viewed as highly unlikely under current market conditions. Reaching that level would require a major increase in demand and market value.
How much is XRP worth in 5 yearsNo one can predict XRP’s price five years from now with certainty. Its value will depend on adoption, regulation, institutional demand, and overall crypto market conditions.
Is XRP a good investmentThat depends on your investment goals and risk tolerance. XRP has strong payment-focused use cases and growing institutional interest, though it remains volatile.
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The post This Indicator Confirms XRP’s Macro Bottom! appeared first on CaptainAltcoin.
