Crypto analyst EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) has published a weekly XRP chart analysis identifying what he believes is a third instance of a recurring four-stage macro structure. Each prior ins
Crypto analyst EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) has published a weekly XRP chart analysis identifying what he believes is a third instance of a recurring four-stage macro structure. Each prior instance ended in a significant price expansion. XRP currently trades at $1.39, sitting near key support as the pattern potentially completes.
The chart covers XRP price history from 2018 to the present. The analyst maps three separate macro cycles, each labeled with four sequential stages. The 2018-2020 cycle completed all four stages before a major rally. The 2021-2024 cycle did the same.
The current cycle, started in 2025 after the late 2024 breakout, has completed three stages. EGRAG CRYPTO asks whether the fourth is loading. He described it as the fourth touch before the mega blast-off.
The Four-Stage Cycle
Each cycle on the chart shows price moving through four distinct phases before breaking out. Stage 1 marks a peak. Stages 2, 3, and 4 form a descending, compressive structure. The breakout follows stage 4 in both prior cycles. EGRAG CRYPTO notes the current price sits near what would be the fourth stage in the 2025-2026 cycle.
He is clear about the setup limits. “The 4th stage alone isn’t confirmation. We need a WEEKLY BREAKOUT.”
Key Levels to Watch
The chart identifies $1.24 as critical support for XRP. Below that, $1.06 serves as deeper support. The resistance level sitting above the current price is $1.67, which he marks as the major breakout level. A weekly close above that level would be necessary to validate the outlined bullish thesis.
The current price of $1.39 places XRP between $1.24 support and $1.67 resistance. EGRAG CRYPTO describes the macro outlook as bullish and the current micro structure as corrective.
Fibonacci Targets
EGRAG CRYPTO applies Fibonacci extension levels to project potential upside targets from the macro structure. His listed targets are $3.57, $9.36, and $15.47, corresponding to the 1.272, 1.414, and 1.618 Fibonacci levels, respectively. The 1.618 extension projects further to $31.86. He labels these as potential targets, not guarantees.
The Overall Position
EGRAG CRYPTO identifies the setup as one requiring patience before any confirmation arrives. He summarizes that “patience is where the big money is made.” The analysis rests on the recurrence of a visible structure across three separate multi-year cycles.
EGRAG CRYPTO poses the central question of whether this is a coincidence or repeating market behavior. Price behavior around the $1.24 support and $1.67 resistance levels will determine whether the pattern holds a third time.
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