XRP’s current market structure is approaching a critical phase where historical price behavior could repeat. Crypto analyst ChartNerd has highlighted similarities between XRP’s 2022 market st
XRP’s current market structure is approaching a critical phase where historical price behavior could repeat.
Crypto analyst ChartNerd has highlighted similarities between XRP’s 2022 market structure and its 2026 setup, warning investors not to be disheartened if the cryptocurrency pulls back significantly before a stronger foundation for a future breakout.
In a fresh tweet, ChartNerd wrote, “You have been politely warned do not be disheartened if we witness a similar process — $XRP.” He then highlighted the 50-week exponential moving average (EMA) as an important level to watch, while stressing that his analysis was not financial advice.
You have been politely warned in advance
do not be disheartened if we witness a similar process — $XRP
https://t.co/e5XLfnt8Sx
—
ChartNerd
(@ChartNerdTA) August 23, 2026
ChartNerd’s comparison centers on how XRP behaved after the 2022 bear-market low. According to the analyst, XRP recorded an approximately 90% move during that period before reaching the 50-week EMA. The cryptocurrency subsequently corrected by roughly 45% toward the area from which it had broken out.
He described that decline as part of a foundation-building process that eventually preceded another breakout. ChartNerd now sees similarities between that structure and XRP’s price action in 2026.
The analyst specifically pointed to the death cross that appeared during both periods. In his assessment, XRP formed a death cross in 2022 after establishing a local low, then lost the 50-week EMA and later encountered the indicator as resistance before declining further.
ChartNerd believes XRP has followed a comparable sequence in 2026. The cryptocurrency lost the 50-week EMA, retested as resistance, and subsequently moved lower after forming another death cross.
ChartNerd also acknowledged differences between the two periods. He noted that June 2022 represented a bear-market bottom, while the June low in the current cycle did not ultimately mark the final bottom.
According to his analysis, XRP initially appeared capable of holding above $1 after the June low, but the cryptocurrency later returned to sweep that level. A new low was then established this month, bringing the current structure closer to the 2022 comparison he is making.
The analyst identified XRP’s recent low around $0.98 as another important reference point. From there, XRP has rallied toward the 50-week EMA, creating what ChartNerd considers another similarity to the earlier cycle.
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ChartNerd’s main warning concerns what could happen if XRP reaches the 50-week EMA in the $1.50 to $1.60 area. He suggested that another correction toward the recent lows could follow a move into that region if the 2022 pattern continues to play out.
His analysis does not state that XRP must repeat the previous cycle. Instead, he emphasizes the structural similarities.
For XRP traders, the 50-week EMA therefore represents the key technical level in ChartNerd’s analysis. A rejection there could produce another decline toward the recent lows, while the broader structure would need to develop further before confirming whether the 2022 comparison remains valid.
Disclaimer: This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses.
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The post Top Analyst to XRP Holders: You Have Been Politely Warned In Advance. Here’s why appeared first on Times Tabloid.
