UPS (UPS) Stock Surges Following Strongest Quarter in Recent Memory

Key Highlights

• United Parcel Service delivered Q2 earnings of $1.76 per share, surpassing analyst expectations of $1.66, with revenue reaching $22.8 billion versus forecasts of $21.84 billion
• Top-line growth accelerated 7.7% compared to the same period last year when revenue stood at $21.2 billion
• Management increased full-year 2026 adjusted earnings guidance to approximately $7.22 per share and revenue projections to around $91.2 billion
• Shares climbed approximately 1.8% during premarket hours on the strength of the quarterly report
• Chief Executive Carol Tomé characterized the quarter as representing “an expected and significant shift” in company trajectory

United Parcel Service shares advanced roughly 1.8% during Tuesday’s premarket session after the logistics giant delivered second-quarter results that exceeded Wall Street projections, with shares changing hands near $114.50.

United Parcel Service, Inc., UPS

Adjusted earnings for the period landed at $1.76 per share, comfortably beating analyst consensus of $1.66. Top-line performance reached $22.8 billion, significantly ahead of the $21.84 billion Wall Street had projected.

During the comparable quarter last year, the company reported earnings of $1.55 per share on $21.2 billion in revenue. This translates to year-over-year revenue expansion of 7.7%.

$UPS Q2’26 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS

Revenue: $22.8B (Est. $21.81B) Adj. EPS: $1.76 (Est. $1.66) ; +14% YoY Adj. Oper Margin: 9.2%; +40 bps YoY Successfully completed Amazon glide down

Raises FY26 Guide: Adj. EPS: ~$7.22 (Est. $7.11) Revenue: ~$91.2B (Est.…

— Wall St Engine (@wallstengine) July 28, 2026

Chief Executive Carol Tomé praised company employees for their dedication throughout the past 18 months while UPS finalized its Amazon volume transition and completed a comprehensive network transformation. She described the quarterly performance as “an expected and significant shift” in the company’s operational trajectory.

Before Tuesday’s trading began, UPS shares had climbed approximately 14% year-to-date, hovering just below $113 per share. However, the stock remains significantly below its post-pandemic peak that exceeded $210.

The domestic U.S. division generated $14.93 billion in quarterly revenue, representing 6.0% annual growth. Revenue per package improved 9.3%.

International operations delivered even stronger performance, with revenue climbing 12.5% to reach $5.04 billion. Revenue per package surged 18.9%, while the segment posted an operating margin of 12.4%.

The Supply Chain Solutions division saw revenue advance 7.8% to $2.86 billion, powered by expansion in forwarding operations and logistics services.

Management Elevates Annual Projections

UPS increased its full-year 2026 adjusted earnings forecast to approximately $7.22 per share, exceeding the analyst consensus estimate of $7.13.

Full-year revenue expectations were elevated to approximately $91.2 billion, higher than previous guidance of $89.7 billion and surpassing consensus projections of $90.38 billion.

Adjusted operating profit guidance received an upward revision to approximately $8.65 billion, compared with the earlier target of roughly $8.6 billion.

Consolidated adjusted operating profit for the second quarter totaled $2.1 billion, producing an adjusted operating margin of 9.2%.

The company has navigated challenging conditions in recent years. Annual revenue crested above $100 billion in 2022 before declining to $88.7 billion in 2025. The Amazon volume reduction created additional pressure alongside wage inflation and weakening parcel demand.

Wall Street Perspective

Bernstein analyst David Vernon had anticipated a “solid” quarterly performance, indicating UPS should be approaching or reaching the conclusion of its primary challenges.

Vernon anticipates “upward pressure” on earnings projections as 2027 approaches. He maintains a Buy rating with a price target of $133.

Current Wall Street estimates project operating profit will expand to $10 billion by 2028, matching levels last achieved in 2023.

UPS shares currently trade at approximately 15 times forward earnings, representing a decline from the roughly 17 times multiple observed five years earlier.

Management stated that full-year adjusted operating profit is now anticipated to reach approximately $8.65 billion.

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