$XRP is struggling to keep pace with Bitcoin, and one analyst says the charts tell a familiar story. Technical analyst @ChartNerd has issued a pointed warning to the XRP community, arguing th
$XRP is struggling to keep pace with Bitcoin, and one analyst says the charts tell a familiar story. Technical analyst @ChartNerd has issued a pointed warning to the XRP community, arguing that the token has been consistently losing ground to Bitcoin with no meaningful signs of reversal.
ChartNerd was direct in his assessment, stating he is "tired of the constant hopium" and that XRP has been underperforming Bitcoin since 2017 with no signs of a major rotation. That 20-period exponential moving average on the XRP/BTC pair is a metric traders use to track medium-term momentum in one asset relative to another.With the pair having been rejected at a crucial supply level around 0.000029 throughout 2025, the analyst believes a capitulation to its multi-year support level in the coming weeks could be imminent.
In a separate May 21 update, the analyst noted the XRP/BTC pair had been declining for 15 consecutive weeks, directly explaining why XRP's USD price had gone essentially flat over the same period."I expect XRP will likely underperform against Bitcoin for the majority of the year," he wrote.
Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows have also helped Bitcoin maintain its lead. Strong inflows into Bitcoin funds can pull liquidity away from altcoins, meaning assets such as XRP may struggle until crypto market traders show stronger demand outside Bitcoin.
Bitcoin's dominance over the rest of crypto has remained above 58%, and that high dominance figure is itself part of what is weighing on XRP and most altcoins: when Bitcoin is absorbing the majority of capital flow, altcoins tend to lag.With Bitcoin dominance at 58%, capital is still moving into Bitcoin rather than rotating into altcoins. Historically, dominance needs to fall below 52 to 54% and sustain there before a broad altcoin recovery takes hold.
ChartNerd estimates the XRP/BTC ratio may crash by more than 57% to retest 0.0000073, a level that proved to be robust support in 2024. His longer-range bear case points toward the $0.90 to $0.70 area if broader conditions deteriorate. Some analysts also warn that passage of the CLARITY Act could trigger a sell-the-news reaction if traders take profits after the event. For now, XRP's path against Bitcoin depends on demand, liquidity, and whether altcoin rotation returns. Until Bitcoin dominance weakens, XRP may remain under pressure despite regulatory hopes.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Sources:CryptoPotato: XRP Community Gets a Harsh Warning as Bitcoin Dominance TightensAnalytics Insight: XRP/BTC Pair Could Fall Further as Analyst Points to Weak Altcoin DemandCryptoNews: XRP vs BTC, Trading Experts Set a Target for When to Expect Bitcoin Rotation
