XRP’s Bollinger Bands pattern mirrors its previous 791-day accumulation cycle, suggesting the token could remain range-bound until 2028. Ripple expands its enterprise ecosystem through RLUSD,
- XRP’s Bollinger Bands pattern mirrors its previous 791-day accumulation cycle, suggesting the token could remain range-bound until 2028.
- Ripple expands its enterprise ecosystem through RLUSD, while banks adopting its infrastructure do not necessarily require XRP for settlements.
- Modest XRP ETF inflows and unresolved U.S. regulatory uncertainty present contrasting scenarios involving retail selling pressure and whale accumulation.
XRP could remain locked in a prolonged consolidation phase until 2028, according to a Bollinger Bands analysis that compares the token’s current structure with its previous multi-year accumulation cycle. While Ripple broadens its enterprise ecosystem, the technical outlook suggests XRP may struggle to deliver a sustained breakout if the historical pattern repeats.
According to the TradingView analysis, XRP’s chart has begun to resemble the accumulation pattern observed between 2022 and 2024. Consequently, the model suggests the asset could remain within a narrow trading range for another extended period before a significant price move develops.
The previous cycle lasted 791 days before XRP surged to a peak of $3.55, although that rally eventually gave way to a lengthy correction that returned the asset to another period of compressed price action.
Currently, XRP trades between approximately $1.06 and $1.10, while Bollinger Bands on higher time frames have started contracting again, a technical signal that often reflects declining volatility and extended consolidation.

Source: TradingView
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Ripple’s business growth contrasts with XRP’s technical outlook
According to the analysis, Ripple’s expanding business operations have not translated into stronger demand for XRP in the market. Instead, the company’s enterprise growth appears increasingly separated from the token’s short-term price performance.
Ripple recently strengthened its stablecoin ecosystem through Ripple Mint, which supports the RLUSD stablecoin. The stablecoin has grown to a market capitalization of roughly $1.5 billion, highlighting broader adoption of Ripple’s financial infrastructure.
However, banks adopting Ripple’s payment solutions do not necessarily need to purchase XRP for settlements. Consequently, enterprise expansion alone may not provide the buying pressure many investors previously expected.
Additionally, institutional demand through U.S. spot XRP exchange-traded funds has remained relatively modest. Weekly inflows have reportedly fluctuated between approximately $2 million and $12 million, reflecting slower capital inflows than many market participants anticipated.
Regulatory uncertainty adds another layer of caution
Besides softer institutional demand, regulatory uncertainty remains another factor influencing sentiment around XRP. According to Polymarket data cited in the analysis, the probability of the CLARITY Act passing this year is currently 33%.
That uncertainty has contributed to two competing market scenarios. The bearish outlook suggests weaker ETF inflows, limited organic demand, and regulatory delays could encourage additional selling from retail investors. Conversely, the bullish case argues that large holders may steadily absorb selling pressure while building stronger long-term positions.
According to the TradingView projection, sustained whale accumulation could establish a stronger price floor before any future breakout develops. Nevertheless, confirmation of that scenario would require stronger buying activity over an extended period.
Conclusion
The Bollinger Bands projection reflects a technical scenario rather than a guaranteed outcome. Even so, according to the TradingView analysis, XRP’s current market structure closely mirrors its previous accumulation cycle, leaving traders focused on whether history repeats or stronger demand catalysts eventually reshape the token’s long-term trajectory.
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