XRP Price Prediction: Down 7 Percent Against Bitcoin, Why the Ratio Says More Than the Price

The XRP price prediction currently depends less on the dollar price than on the ratio to Bitcoin: XRP cost $1.30 on Wednesday evening, November 4, 2026, according to CoinGecko, exactly on its 20-day average. In 30 days the coin lost 13.4 percent, Bitcoin only 6.6 percent. Against Bitcoin, XRP slid from about 1,757 to about 1,630 satoshi, a drop of 7.2 percent.

XRP price prediction: key points

• Price: $1.30, up 1.8 percent over 24 hours.
• Against Bitcoin: about 1,630 satoshi, 90-day range 1,548 to 1,956.
• Level above: 50-day average at $1.39.
• Level below: 200-day average at $1.27.
• Options: for November 27 about 15.2 million calls against 4.0 million puts.

XRP price prediction: what has changed since the last update

Our last XRP price prediction focused on the expected move until November 8. Since then XRP has moved between $1.24 and $1.34 and has not left that range. The dollar price recovered with the market, the ratio to Bitcoin did not. That is the new question.

The key levels for the XRP price. Data: CoinGecko, as of November 4, 2026

XRP against Bitcoin: why the ratio says more than the dollar price

When the whole market rises, XRP rises almost automatically. Whether investors really favor XRP only shows in the comparison with Bitcoin. Over the past 90 days one XRP traded between 1,548 and 1,956 satoshi. At 1,630 the value sits in the lower quarter of that range. As long as that remains the case, XRP is following the market rather than leading it.

US politics also matters for XRP. The CLARITY Act would settle the legal status of many tokens, but it expires on January 3 if the Senate does not act, as our midterms recap shows. If you want to trade XRP, compare regulated crypto exchanges.

XRP against Bitcoin in satoshi over 90 days. Data: CoinGecko, as of November 4, 2026

XRP forecast: what the options market shows for the end of November

At Deribit, about 15.2 million XRP in calls face 4.0 million in puts for November 27. For December 25 it is 25.5 million against 15.8 million. Bets on rising prices clearly outweigh hedges, even though this market is much smaller than Bitcoin's. Single large positions can therefore shape the picture strongly.

XRP price prediction: three scenarios for the coming weeks

Scenario Trigger Next level Strength Daily close above $1.39 and a rising ratio to Bitcoin $1.50 as a round number Sideways Price stays between $1.27 and $1.39 The ratio to Bitcoin decides the direction Weakness Daily close below $1.27 $1.24, below that the zone around $1

The 200-day average at $1.27 sits only 2.3 percent below the price, the 50-day average at $1.39 is 6.9 percent above it. The distance to the downside is smaller. Our XRP price prediction page covers longer horizons. If you prefer trading without your own wallet, compare suitable crypto brokers.

As of Wednesday evening, November 4, 2026. This article is not investment advice.