XRP Risks $0.60 as Bearish Fractal Faces a Critical Test, Says Analyst

• Analyst identifies 1.0359–1.1795 as a potential recovery zone, with $1.25 needed for stronger bullish confirmation.
• XRP risks falling toward 0.70–0.60 if Bitcoin records another lower low and the bearish fractal breaks.
• XRP's RSI stands at 36.44, while its negative MACD histogram signals continued selling pressure below $1.00.

XRP has fallen to $0.9566 on the four-hour Binance chart as of November 15, extending a decline from roughly $1.42 in mid-October. Analyst Egrag Crypto has revised his previous-cycle fractal, warning that a weekly close below critical support would weaken the setup. He expects a possible relief bounce after 11 days of selling.

Egrag Adjusts the Fractal as Support Weakens

Egrag said the previous cycle's fractal should not begin at the prior cycle low. He added that the earlier pattern never broke its lows, while XRP now threatens important structural support. A weekly close below the red line on his chart would weaken the pattern.

Egrag identified $1.0359 to $1.1795 as a possible recovery zone, with $1.25 marking stronger bullish confirmation. However, XRP could fall toward $0.70 to $0.60 if Bitcoin records another lower low. Egrag said he remains committed to the fractal but is adjusting it to current price action.

November Losses Rank Among XRP's Worst

XRP is down 19.2% so far in November 2026, matching November 2018's decline. November 2019 remains worse, with a 23.6% loss. This makes November 2026 the second-worst November performance since 2013 so far.

https://twitter.com/egragcrypto/status/2121495234563408042?a=a2fbueNGbYeWf1Q4wsQ&s=20

XRP's historical November average stands at positive 78.3%, while its median return is negative 9.1%. Egrag said he remains bullish and expects one major move, without providing a timing target.

Four-hour Indicators Show Continued Selling Pressure

The latest four-hour candle opened at $0.9672, reached $0.9794, and touched $0.9516 before closing at $0.9566. The close represented a 1.09% decline. Trading volume reached 24.61 million XRP, with elevated activity during the latest drop and rebound.

Source: TradingView

The RSI stood at 36.44, above its moving average of 31.78 but below 50. Meanwhile, MACD remained bearish, with its line at -0.0343 below the signal line at -0.0317. The histogram registered -0.0026.

On the price levels, $0.95 marks immediate support, followed by $0.93 if selling continues. A move above $1.00 could open tests of $1.05 and $1.10. XRP has fallen below $1.20, $1.10, and $1.00 since rejection near $1.32 on November 4.