TLDR: XRP inflows to Binance from wallets holding over 1M tokens have declined sharply since the 2025 peak. On-chain data shows no extraordinary inflow spike, ruling out aggressive whale sell
XRP exchange inflows to Binance have declined notably following the 2025 market peak, and on-chain data now points to reduced selling activity among large holders.
Transfers exceeding one million XRP dominated exchange inflow charts between 2021 and 2025, reflecting consistent participation from whale and institutional-scale addresses.
The recent pullback in these flows, despite a price retreat from the $3 region, suggests that major market participants are becoming less inclined to sell.
Historically, sharp spikes in the 100K–1M XRP and 1M+ XRP inflow categories have preceded major market downturns.
These surges typically signal that large holders are moving assets to exchanges ahead of selling. However, no such extraordinary spike currently appears at the far right of the inflow chart. This absence is a meaningful contrast to prior bear market conditions.
CryptoQuant analyst PelinayPA noted that the post-ETF approval period coincides with this drop in whale inflows. The reduced exchange activity suggests whales may be holding positions rather than distributing.
Declining XRP Inflows to Binance Reflect Growing Whale Confidence
“If Binance inflows remain subdued, the available selling supply could continue to decrease. Combined with stronger demand, this would make it easier for ripple:native to revisit the $1.8-$2.0 range.” – By… pic.twitter.com/dmrR1vJZUd
— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) June 9, 2026
That behavioral shift stands out, especially given XRP’s recent price correction. It points to a market structure that differs from previous cycles.
The current price decline appears linked more to leverage liquidations and broader market weakness than to deliberate whale selling. In past severe downturns, exchange inflows rose aggressively as investors rushed to exit positions.
That pattern is not repeating now. The on-chain picture, therefore, does not support the narrative of widespread profit-taking at this stage.
Between 2021 and 2025, large-scale inflows remained consistently elevated, showing that whales actively used Binance as a distribution venue. The recent reversal of that trend is therefore notable.
It reflects a measurable change in behavior among the market’s largest participants. Whether this shift sustains depends on whether inflows stay suppressed in the weeks ahead.
PelinayPA stated in the analysis: “If Binance inflows remain subdued, the available selling supply could continue to decrease. Combined with stronger demand, this would make it easier for XRP to revisit the $1.8–$2.0 range.”
That projection rests on the assumption that the current low-inflow environment holds. Any renewed surge in the 1M+ XRP category would challenge that outlook.
XRP’s price stood at $1.11 at the time of writing, with a 24-hour trading volume of $1,754,706,743. The asset recorded a 5.12% decline over the past 24 hours and an 8.28% drop over the prior seven days. Despite these figures, the on-chain data does not yet reflect panic-driven selling from major holders.
Reduced exchange supply, when paired with sustained or growing demand, typically creates favorable conditions for price recovery.
The $1.8–$2.0 range cited in the analysis represents a plausible near-term target if inflows remain low. However, this structure remains sensitive to any sharp reversal in whale behavior. Traders and analysts will likely continue monitoring inflow trends closely.
As long as no renewed surge emerges in the 1M+ XRP inflow category, the current market structure may remain constructive. The broader market environment will also play a role in whether that structure holds.
For now, the declining inflow trend offers a data-backed case for cautious optimism. The next few weeks will clarify whether whales maintain their current stance.
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