Kaspa has entered one of those market phases where timing may matter more than excitement. The KAS price has been under pressure, and Crypto MindSet analysts CM and Jomo believe that weakness
Kaspa has entered one of those market phases where timing may matter more than excitement. The KAS price has been under pressure, and Crypto MindSet analysts CM and Jomo believe that weakness could create the setup for a much larger move in 2027.
Crypto MindSet’s CM said Kaspa may still have one more move lower before a stronger recovery begins. His view is based on an Elliott Wave count, where he believes KAS may be inside its final wave down.
That matters because CM expects the Kaspa bottom to form around Q3 2026, or possibly Q4 2026 in a slower scenario. He also said KAS could fall toward $0.01 if current support fails.
The math behind the 10x idea is simple. If Kaspa drops to $0.01 and later returns to $0.10, that alone would produce a 10x move. CM stressed that KAS would not even need to reach a new all-time high for that type of move to happen.
The key points from his view are clear:
Jomo agreed that the Kaspa price setup looks interesting, but he added an important warning. Bitcoin could still pull the wider crypto market lower if risk appetite weakens.
His point was that KAS may either retest lower levels or prove that the current range is already an accumulation zone. That difference will depend heavily on how Kaspa behaves if Bitcoin makes another low.
Jomo also explained that he would like to see the moving average flatten before calling the bottom stronger. A flat moving average, followed by price movement above and below that zone, could show that KAS is forming a base.
CM made a clear difference between holding blindly and waiting for confirmation. He said he currently has no Kaspa position and prefers to wait for momentum before entering.
That is one reason the analysts focused on timing instead of only price targets. Their view is not that every Kaspa buyer will automatically make 10x. Their argument is that buyers who enter near the bottom or near a confirmed breakout may have a better setup.
CM also said KAS could potentially reach a new all time high in the next cycle, though he admitted the idea remains speculative. He compared Kaspa’s early cycle structure to assets that later returned stronger after their first major market cycle.
Kaspa’s next major move will not depend only on charts. The KAS price will likely depend on Bitcoin, token supply, network upgrades, and real ecosystem usage.
Bitcoin remains the biggest market anchor. Kaspa often follows broader crypto direction, so Bitcoin price action, ETF flows, macro liquidity, and institutional demand could all affect KAS.
Kaspa’s emission model may also matter. The network uses gradual monthly reductions instead of Bitcoin’s 4 year halving cycle. More than 95% of its 28.7 billion maximum supply has already been mined, which means fewer new coins should enter circulation during 2026 and 2027.
Technology could become another major factor. Kaspa aims to remain a high speed Proof of Work blockchain. Upgrades like the Toccata TMI Update, along with future goals such as 100 blocks per second and DAGKnight, could support confidence if development stays on track.
Ecosystem growth is also important. KRC 20 tokens, DeFi applications, and Ethereum-style smart contracts could expand Kaspa beyond peer to peer payments. Greater usage and fee activity would make the long term KAS story easier to defend.
Kaspa has traded between roughly $0.02 and $0.03 for an extended period, and that range has become one of the most important support zones on the KAS chart. Buyers have stepped in several times around those levels, which shows that demand has remained strong despite the broader market weakness.
KAS Price Chart / TradingView.com That repeated defense makes the $0.02 region especially important.
A decisive break below $0.02 could completely change the technical picture. Losing such a well-established support level would likely trigger fresh selling pressure as stop losses get activated and buyers wait for lower prices before returning to the market.
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That type of selling could eventually push Kaspa into the $0.01 range, meaning KAS would lose another zero. That possibility also aligns with the view from Crypto MindSet’s analysts, who believe another leg lower cannot be ruled out before the next major bull market begins.
The weekly technical indicators also continue to favor the bears. Data from Investing.com shows that the five major momentum indicators below all remain on Sell signals. Taken together, they indicate that the broader trend still points lower and that buyers have not regained control.
IndicatorValueActionWhat It MeansRSI (14)39.877SellThe Relative Strength Index remains below the neutral 50 level. That shows bearish momentum still has the advantage, although the market has not reached extreme oversold conditions.Stochastic (9,6)23.321SellThe Stochastic Oscillator sits close to oversold territory. Buyers have not produced enough strength to confirm a reversal.Stochastic RSI (14)44.765SellShort term momentum remains weak. The indicator has not produced the type of bullish crossover that usually supports a sustained recovery.MACD (12,26)-0.006SellThe negative MACD reading indicates bearish momentum continues to dominate the weekly trend, with no confirmed reversal signal so far.ADX (14)21.489SellThe Average Directional Index suggests the current bearish trend still has enough strength to continue, even if occasional relief rallies appear.Taken together, these weekly indicators from Investing.com continue to support a cautious outlook for the KAS price. They do not guarantee that Kaspa will lose the $0.02 support, but they do indicate that the broader trend remains under pressure.
That makes the current support zone one of the most important levels to watch over the coming weeks. If buyers continue defending it, the longer-term recovery thesis remains intact. If the level finally gives way, the probability of KAS falling into the $0.01 range could increase substantially.
Kaspa (KAS) is a Proof-of-Work layer-one blockchain that uses a blockDAG architecture to enable high transaction speeds and scalability. It operates with a fair launch and no pre-mine.
Can Kaspa reach 5 dollars?For the KAS token to reach $5, it would need to grow about 55 times from where it is now. Cardano’s price is about $0.77, which means ADA tokens would only need to climb around 6.5 times to reach the same mark. Kaspa has never been close to $1 before. Cardano, however, reached about $3.10 in 2021.
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