XRP’s long-term market structure is back in focus after crypto analyst Egrag Crypto posted a new monthly chart on X suggesting the asset may be approaching another major expansion phase. The
XRP’s long-term market structure is back in focus after crypto analyst Egrag Crypto posted a new monthly chart on X suggesting the asset may be approaching another major expansion phase.
The analysis centers on XRP’s market capitalization rather than its price, with Egrag maintaining that a recurring macro pattern could eventually push the asset toward a $1 trillion valuation if key support levels continue to hold.
In his latest update, Egrag presented what he calls the “Kaboom” cycle, a repeating structure that has appeared several times throughout XRP’s history. He believes the market is now setting up for what he describes as “Kaboom 4,” following three previous expansion phases that produced significant gains.
#XRP – Kaboom 4 , Road to $1 Trillion:
On the monthly market-cap chart, #XRP keeps repeating the same macro behavior:
Retest the rising structure + 33 SMA → explosive expansion
Kaboom 1: approximately 95X
— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) July 16, 2026
Egrag’s chart identifies four major stages in XRP’s long-term market-cap trend. He noted that the first “Kaboom” produced an expansion of approximately 95 times from its base, while the second and third cycles each generated gains of around 15 times.
The analyst said these recurring moves followed a similar sequence. In each instance, XRP’s market cap retested its long-term rising support structure and the 33-month simple moving average before beginning a strong upward expansion. His chart suggests the current market is once again testing that same structure, leading him to believe another cycle could be forming.
He summarized the pattern by stating that the first cycle created the model, the second confirmed it, and the third delivered another breakout. Based on that historical behavior, he believes the fourth phase could mark the next major expansion if the structure remains intact.
Egrag identified three important support zones that he believes will determine whether the bullish structure remains valid. These include the Fibonacci 0.786 level at approximately $64.1 billion in market capitalization, the Fibonacci 0.702 level near $48.8 billion, and the Fibonacci 0.618 level at $37.2 billion.
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His chart shows XRP’s market cap trading near the highest of those support areas, suggesting that maintaining this region could preserve the broader bullish outlook.
If the support holds, Egrag outlined a series of projected market-cap targets. His roadmap points first to approximately $130 billion before advancing toward $310 billion at the Fibonacci 1.272 extension, $493 billion at the 1.414 extension, and roughly $955 billion at the Fibonacci 1.618 extension.
The analyst added that a historical 15-fold expansion from the current support region would align closely with a market capitalization of about $1 trillion. While his chart also includes a longer-term symmetrical triangle projection exceeding $2 trillion, he emphasized that his primary objective remains the Fibonacci 1.618 target near $1 trillion.
Egrag Crypto concluded, saying that XRP must maintain its current market structure and reclaim the $130 billion market capitalization level before the next expansion can begin. He added that long-term market structure carries more significance than short-term market noise or differing opinions.
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