Last week, our weekly XRP price prediction leaned toward a range-bound market, with the likely outcome calling for trading between $1.10 and $1.20 as weak volume and neutral momentum kept buy
Last week, our weekly XRP price prediction leaned toward a range-bound market, with the likely outcome calling for trading between $1.10 and $1.20 as weak volume and neutral momentum kept buyers and sellers in balance.
It didn’t hit $1.20. Never even got close to $1.25 or $1.28. Instead, it punched straight through $1.10 and kept falling. The drop played out like a bad movie, down to about $1.05. The only small mercy is that it hasn’t hit that big round $1.00 number yet.
The XRP price is moving at $1.05 at writing. That’s down a little over 1% in the last day.People aren’t placing big bets on XRP anymore, open interest is at its lowest point in years. And trading volume? Cut in half. Nearly 50% less action than usual.
The biggest weight on the XRP price remains the collapse in speculative activity. XRP derivatives open interest has dropped below $150 million, the lowest level since July 2025, as leveraged traders exited the market.
Spot trading volume also fell 49.74% to roughly $1.1 billion, leaving little buying pressure to absorb fresh selling. With both liquidity and conviction drying up, even modest sell orders have had a greater impact on price. Until volume and open interest recover together, upside moves could struggle to hold.
Competition in the tokenized real-world asset market also paints a mixed picture. Stellar now hosts about $3 billion worth of tokenized RWAs compared to roughly $330 million on the XRP Ledger, despite XRP maintaining a market capitalization around 11 times larger.
Institutional partnerships with firms such as Franklin Templeton and the DTCC have strengthened Stellar’s position. XRP still holds advantages in stablecoin payment activity and cross-border settlement, though expanding its RWA footprint remains an area investors will monitor closely.
There was one encouraging development outside the charts. Ripple secured a preliminary Green Light Letter from Luxembourg’s CSSF for a Crypto Asset Service Provider license under Europe’s MiCA framework.
Combined with Ripple’s existing Electronic Money Institution license, the approval would allow its payment infrastructure and stablecoin services to operate across all 30 European Economic Area countries once final requirements are completed. The approval strengthens Ripple’s regulated payments business, although it does not directly apply to XRP as an investment asset.
We had a look at the chart, and the broader trend remains firmly bearish. Through all of June, XRP kept making lower tops and lower bottoms. Every time it tried to bounce back, sellers showed up and knocked it right back down.
Mid-month, it managed a quick run up toward $1.27, but that fizzled out fast. That told you everything, sellers are still running the show.
Source: Tradingview.comThe numbers that track momentum aren’t looking great either. The RSI crept back up to about 42 after flirting with oversold territory. But it’s still under 50, which is the line between weak and strong.
So the selling isn’t as fierce as before, but buyers haven’t exactly stepped up to take over. Even the average line on the RSI is stuck below 50. That keeps the bias pointed down.
Where do we stand right now? Clear levels. Up top, $1.08 to $1.10 is the first wall. If it breaks that, $1.15 is an even tougher one. Down below, $1.03 to $1.05 is holding for now. That’s the floor, at least until it isn’t. If that floor breaks, the psychological $1.00 level becomes the next area traders are likely to defend.
Related XRP News: XRP Price Crash Not Over Yet, Crypto Veteran Warns of Third Wave Down
The sweetest catalyst would be a return of trading activity. Open interest and spot volume have both fallen sharply, leaving XRP without enough participation to sustain meaningful rallies. A noticeable increase in both metrics would indicate traders are returning and could support a move back toward higher resistance levels.
Broader crypto market sentiment will also remain important. XRP has underperformed Bitcoin over the past week, but another recovery across large-cap cryptocurrencies could improve risk appetite and help lift XRP alongside the wider market.
Institutional developments could also play a role over the coming weeks. Ripple’s progress under Europe’s MiCA framework strengthens its payments business and regulatory standing. Even though the approval does not directly involve XRP, further announcements tied to enterprise adoption or payment network expansion could improve market confidence.
Most likely, XRP stays stuck between $1.03 and $1.10 for a while. Momentum is weak. Not many people are trading it. Speculation has died down. Unless we see a real pickup in activity, expect another week of going nowhere.
Now, if buyers can take back $1.10 and do it with real volume behind them, that changes things. Then $1.15 becomes possible for Ripple’s XRP price. And if the rest of the crypto market wakes up too, $1.20 could be next.
The bearish case comes into play if $1.03 fails to hold. That would expose $1.00, and a decisive break below that psychological support could extend losses toward $0.97 before buyers are likely to step back into the market.
Spot XRP ETFs give institutional and retail investors a regulated way to gain exposure to XRP without directly holding the cryptocurrency, potentially increasing demand over time.
Can XRP reach $100 dollarsAlmost certainly not in 2026. That would require a market cap of over $5 trillion, far larger than all crypto combined today. Even the most optimistic long‑term forecasts (2030+) place XRP in the $3‑$30 range, with $100 requiring a global monetary reset and mass institutional adoption. It is a lottery‑ticket scenario, not a base case.
Is XRP a better investment than EthereumXRP and Ethereum serve different purposes. XRP focuses on cross-border payments, while Ethereum powers smart contracts and decentralized applications. The better investment depends on an investor’s goals and risk tolerance.
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The post How High Can Ripple’s XRP Price Go This Week? appeared first on CaptainAltcoin.
