XRP price is trading around $1.36, but popular analyst Dark Defender is still tracking a much larger Elliott Wave structure that eventually points toward $7.08 and then $10.11. Those numbers
XRP price is trading around $1.36, but popular analyst Dark Defender is still tracking a much larger Elliott Wave structure that eventually points toward $7.08 and then $10.11.
Those numbers look extreme compared with the current XRP price. However, Dark Defender’s chart does not project a straight move from $1.36 to $10.
His thesis depends on XRP first defending the $1.33 region, clearing a series of resistance levels, and confirming a larger bullish structure above $1.88.
Dark Defender explains the current short-term battle as a range between $1.33 support and $1.4445 resistance.
XRP recently bounced from $1.33 and moved directly toward $1.4445 before being rejected.
For the analyst, that confirmed both sides of the range.
The lower level has acted as support, and the upper level remains the ceiling bulls have not yet managed to clear.
His Elliott Wave count labels the previous rise to $1.6992 as Wave 1. The current decline is Wave 2, with the recent double test of $1.33 potentially marking the end of that correction.
A sustained close above $1.4445 would strengthen that interpretation.
If $1.33 fails, however, Dark Defender sees room for the correction to extend toward $1.2939 and potentially $1.2133.
Momentum Has Improved, But XRP Is Still Under Resistance
Dark Defender also points to improving RSI momentum.
On his four-hour setup, RSI recovered from an oversold reading near 37 and moved above its signal line.
That supports the case that buyers are returning after the $1.33 test.
But XRP still has work to do.
Price remains underneath the Ichimoku Cloud, with resistance around $1.37 to $1.42. Dark Defender considers that setup bearish until XRP can reclaim roughly $1.42.
The immediate technical map therefore looks like this:
XRP level
Role in Dark Defender’s setup
$1.33
Main short-term support
$1.3798
61.8% Fib reclaim level
$1.42
Ichimoku Cloud area
$1.4445
Key descending resistance
$1.5692
Level that cancels the remaining corrective scenario
$1.6992
Previous Wave 1 high
$1.8815
Main higher-timeframe bullish gateway
The $1.4445 level is especially important because breaking it would indicate that the correction from $1.6992 may have finished.
The Five-Day Chart Is Where the Forecast Gets Wild
The much larger targets come from Dark Defender’s five-day Elliott Wave chart.
The chart places XRP’s recent move to $1.6992 as the first wave of a larger bullish sequence.
Source: X/@DefendDark
Wave 2 is projected as the current pullback.
From there, Dark Defender maps Wave 3 toward the 361.8% Fibonacci extension at $7.0786.
His projected Wave 4 then pulls XRP back toward $4.1043 before a final Wave 5 advances toward $10.1101.
There is even a higher Fibonacci extension at $18.2275 on the chart, although $10.11 is the main Wave 5 target in his current count.
That projected path is:
$1.33 area → $1.88 confirmation → $7.08 → $4.10 correction → $10.11
This is why simply looking at the $10 target can make the prediction sound more extreme than the chart itself.
Dark Defender is mapping a multi-stage structure with significant corrections between targets.
Read also: Claude AI Predicts Bitcoin and XRP Price After the October FOMC Meeting
XRP Price Forecast: Why $1.88 Is More Important Than $10 Right Now
The $10.11 forecast remains highly speculative unless XRP first clears several much closer levels.
Dark Defender identifies $1.8815 as the primary gateway.
That level corresponds to the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and iis above the Ichimoku Cloud on the five-day chart.
Until XRP moves through that area, the $7 and $10 targets remain hypothetical extensions of the Elliott Wave count.
The chart also shows XRP sitting under a large cloud that has capped price for months.
A five-day close above roughly $1.42 would be the first improvement.
Clearing $1.88 would be much more meaningful because it would take XRP above the analyst’s primary higher-timeframe resistance.
XRP Price Outlook: What Would Invalidate the Bullish Setup?
Dark Defender is not presenting the XRP price forecast without downside conditions.
A close below $1.33 would shift his short-term focus toward $1.2939 and $1.2133.
His larger Elliott Wave count remains alive unless XRP closes below approximately $0.9852.
That gives the forecast a wide invalidation level, which is also important when evaluating the prediction.
A setup can retain a theoretical bullish target even after a substantial price decline if its invalidation point is far below the current market.
Can XRP Really Reach $10.11?
The chart provides a technical route, but a move to $10.11 would still be enormous.
From roughly $1.36, XRP would need to increase more than sevenfold.
Such a move would also push XRP’s market capitalization into the hundreds of billions of dollars, meaning it would likely need a much stronger crypto market, substantial capital inflows and continued institutional demand.
That makes $10.11 very different from the immediate $1.44 or $1.88 targets.
The near-term chart can be tested relatively quickly.
The $7.08 and $10.11 levels depend on Dark Defender’s entire Elliott Wave structure continuing to play out over a much longer period.
For now, the forecast comes down to something much simpler.
XRP needs to keep $1.33 intact, reclaim $1.42, then finally break $1.4445.
Only after those levels fall does the road toward $1.88, $7.08 and eventually $10.11 begin to look materially stronger.
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The post This XRP Price Prediction Sounds Crazy Until You See the Chart appeared first on CaptainAltcoin.