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Markets

XRP Hits Lowest Holder Returns in History as Santiment Flags Recovery Setup

Santiment reveals XRP holders face record unrealized losses historically documented. Both short-term and long-term investors remain underwater despite recovery potential. Extreme market fear

AnonymousCryptoCompass newsroom
July 3, 2026
3 min read
NEWS
XRP Hits Lowest Holder Returns in History as Santiment Flags Recovery Setup
CryptoCompass editorial visual for markets coverage.
  • Santiment reveals XRP holders face record unrealized losses historically documented.
  • Both short-term and long-term investors remain underwater despite recovery potential.
  • Extreme market fear historically preceded XRP relief rallies during downturns.

XRP holders are facing their deepest average losses on record as new on-chain data points to the asset’s most historically undervalued position. According to Santiment Intelligence, both XRP’s 30-day and 365-day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratios have dropped to their lowest combined levels since the cryptocurrency began trading nearly 12 years ago. While broader market uncertainty remains, the analytics platform believes current valuation levels present a more attractive long-term risk-reward profile.

According to Santiment, XRP’s 30-day MVRV has fallen to -45%, while its 365-day MVRV currently stands at -47%. These readings show that traders who bought XRP within the past month and investors holding the asset for about a year are both carrying significant unrealized losses. Unlike in previous downturns, both indicators have reached record lows simultaneously. Consequently, Santiment stated that XRP has never recorded lower average returns across these two key holding periods throughout its trading history.

Also Read: Crypto Market Extends Recovery as Ethereum Leads Major Coins With 5.4% Gain

Historic MVRV Readings Highlight Extreme Investor Capitulation

Santiment’s chart identifies historical accumulation and distribution zones using MVRV data collected across multiple market cycles. Whenever both indicators entered the lower accumulation zone, XRP eventually produced meaningful recoveries as selling pressure gradually weakened. Current readings have fallen even below the previous bear market lows shown on the chart. According to Santiment, this places XRP in its most historically depressed valuation zone since the asset launched.

However, Santiment emphasized that MVRV does not predict immediate price movements. Instead, the metric measures valuation by comparing market value with investors’ average acquisition costs. Therefore, XRP could still experience additional downside if the broader cryptocurrency market remains under pressure. Besides, the platform explained that deeply negative MVRV readings often indicate much of the downside has already been absorbed by existing holders. Historical data also shows that major recovery phases frequently began when market sentiment remained overwhelmingly negative, and investors were reluctant to sell at substantial losses.

In conclusion, Santiment maintains that XRP’s current MVRV readings represent the lowest average holder returns ever recorded. Although short-term volatility may continue, the on-chain data suggests XRP has entered a valuation range that has historically preceded relief rallies over longer timeframes.

Also Read: RLUSD Majority Supply Moves to XRP Ledger as Trading Activity Nears $900 Million

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