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Markets

XRP’s CVD plunges to 16.2 million, analyst warns of possible downside

XRP’s price has remained mostly stable in recent days, but a notable shift in market dynamics is emerging beneath the surface. Crypto analyst Xaif (@Xaif_Crypto) highlighted a sharp drop in X

AnonymousCryptoCompass newsroom
September 27, 2026
3 min read
NEWS
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XRP’s price has remained mostly stable in recent days, but a notable shift in market dynamics is emerging beneath the surface. Crypto analyst Xaif (@Xaif_Crypto) highlighted a sharp drop in XRP’s Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD), signaling a potential warning for the digital asset’s immediate outlook.

Sharp CVD Decline Signals Aggressive Selling

Xaif pointed to a pronounced divergence between the price of XRP and its CVD reading. The metric, which tracks the difference between aggressive buying and selling pressure across exchanges, has dropped to 16.2 million.

This decline puts the CVD well below its 20.9 million and 26.5 million moving averages, a technical breakdown that indicates sellers have outpaced buyers over recent sessions. Despite the CVD drop, XRP’s price has not yet reflected this shift, continuing to trade above critical support levels.

Xaif emphasizes that while price remains steady, the rapid fall in CVD to 16.2 million—under both key moving averages—reflects mounting selling pressure that the market is currently absorbing. If buyers do not step in soon to reverse the trend, further weakness in price may follow.

Chart Patterns and Key Technicals

A 10-day chart shared by Xaif underscores the recent volatility. CVD reached a peak of approximately 62 million around September 23 but has since retreated sharply to its present level. The circled area on the chart highlights this drop, while candlestick formations with red bodies confirm recent dominance by sellers.

The divergence between price action and CVD remains a focus for analysts. Historically, when CVD falls as price holds steady, it suggests that buy-side support is currently absorbing sell orders. However, this equilibrium can quickly break if aggressive selling persists without a resurgence in demand.

Xaif cautioned that the gap between the current CVD of 16.2 million and the moving averages marks a clear decline in net buying. For XRP bulls, regaining momentum requires substantial buying volume to lift the CVD back above those technical averages.

Decisive Sessions Ahead for XRP

Currently, XRP is trading at $1.52, reflecting a decrease of nearly 2% over the past 24 hours. The present technical setup places pressure on buyers to step in and restore upward momentum. Without a recovery in CVD, the existing price structure may become increasingly vulnerable.

Analyst Xaif underscores the importance of monitoring the CVD closely; should the metric stabilize and turn upward, XRP may defend its current price. Continued declines in CVD, however, could accelerate downward movement in the token’s value.

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