Juan Leon, Senior Investment Strategist at Bitwise, has boldly stated the trajectory of spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). Leon pointed out that institutional investors and financial advisors invested heavily in Bitcoin ETFs in the first quarter of 2025.
Even though Bitcoin price was struggling, falling by 13%, the investment funds raked in over $1 billion in inflows. However, retail traders lost interest due to volatility and broader market challenges.
Big investors remained confident, focusing on long-term momentum, especially with the President Trump administration supporting Bitcoin. Leon believes Bitcoin ETFs could see over $3 billion in inflows in the second quarter of 2025.
The large inflows into Bitcoin ETFs were not just from investors looking to buy Bitcoin at a low price. A big portion of it came from a trading strategy called arbitrage strategies. In this strategy, institutions buy Bitcoin ETFs while still betting against Bitcoin’s futures prices on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME).
This allows investors to earn returns without worrying about Bitcoin’s price swings. This trading strategy was very profitable in late 2024, and even in early 2025, it remained better than the risk-free investment.
However, the return has now dropped to around 5%, which could reduce the amount of money flowing into ETFs through arbitrage.
Still, many experts think Bitcoin ETF adoption is just getting started. Nate Geraci, president of the ETF Store, believes that as more big investors get comfortable with Bitcoin, Bitcoin ETFs may see more inflows throughout the year.
While institutions have started investing in Bitcoin ETFs, their current allocations are still small compared to their overall ETF investments. BlackRock CEO Larry Fink recently noted that most Bitcoin ETF investments still come from retail investors.
However, Fink believes that may change soon as the U.S. government and regulators take a more favorable stance on Bitcoin. At a recent ETF conference in Las Vegas, a survey found that 57% of financial advisors plan to increase their allocations to crypto ETFs this year.
Another factor that could drive Bitcoin ETF inflows in Q2 2025 is economic uncertainty. When fears about a possible recession increase, Bitcoin could become more attractive as “digital gold.”
David Siemer, CEO of Wave Digital Assets, believes big investors will keep putting money into Bitcoin this year. He said some short-term traders might sell if prices stay low, but long-term investors will continue buying.
He also pointed out that institutions’ interests are growing, which could increase demand for Bitcoin ETFs in the coming months.
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