The stock market holds its breath before the FED decision. Ahead of time, the price of gold recovered this Monday. It posted a gain of 0.8% at $3,264 an ounce. After a weekly decline of 2.4%, investors are repositioning themselves in safe-haven assets. Details below!
In the financial markets and the stock market, all eyes are on U.S. monetary policy. The FED is expected to keep its interest rates unchanged this week, despite repeated pressure from President Trump. According to him:
Last week’s surprisingly strong employment numbers did not justify a rate cut.
However, analysts wonder: does the growing economic uncertainty (fueled by trade tensions between the United States and China) justify a repositioning towards gold? Trump announced that he would not meet with his Chinese counterpart this week. At the same time, his speech suggested a reduction in tariffs might occur. An announcement that has increased volatility in stock indices!
Since the beginning of the year, gold has gained nearly 25%. Its value even reached a high of $3,500 an ounce in April. This bullish movement is explained by:
For many investors, this asset remains indeed a safe haven in a world losing its bearings.
With decreasing liquidity and low returns on traditional assets, analysts anticipate a possible massive return to gold (especially if the situation does not improve).
If the stock market continues to suffer the jolts of diplomacy and the hesitations of the FED, gold could continue to shine.
In a world dominated by political shocks and the fear of a global slowdown, the stock market remains tense and at the mercy of every statement. And if, beyond the rates, it were the investors’ confidence that became the true driver of the markets in this new global economic cycle? Food for thought!