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Are stablecoins about to disrupt the global financial order? An industry projection puts forward a staggering figure: up to 1.5 quadrillion dollars in volume by 2035. Long seen as tools of the crypto market, these assets could now establish themselves as key infrastructures for international payments. This rise directly challenges the dominance of traditional networks and reveals a profound transformation of financial flows on a global scale.
According to projections, stablecoin transaction volumes could reach 1.5 quadrillion dollars by 2035, while stablecoins are already at 315 billion dollars in the first quarter. A more moderate scenario already mentions 719 trillion dollars, reflecting rapid expansion of these assets.
The study specifies that these flows could exceed “global cross-border payment volumes”, currently estimated around one quadrillion dollars.
This growth relies on several clearly identified drivers :
These factors help reposition stablecoins as large-scale settlement instruments far beyond their initial use in crypto trading.
Beyond volumes, the analysis reveals a change in the status of stablecoins within the global financial architecture. Projections suggest they could directly compete with historic payment networks like Visa or Mastercard between 2031 and 2039. Indeed, these assets are evolving into infrastructures capable of supporting global flows, not just transactions internal to the crypto ecosystem.
This transformation relies on the characteristics unique to on-chain payments. Stablecoins enable nearly instant and low-cost settlements, which promotes their adoption in various use cases, notably international transfers and commercial settlements. They are thus described as future “global payment rails”, capable of competing with traditional systems.
If these projections on stablecoins materialize, they could redraw the balance between traditional finance and blockchain. The scale of anticipated volumes raises issues related to regulation, stability, and trust. This evolution paves the way for a gradual reshaping of the payment landscape, where decentralized infrastructures could occupy an increasingly central place.