U.S. Dollar Liquidity Crunch Impacts Bitcoin Market
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- Bitcoin's decline linked to U.S. liquidity crunch.
- Federal Reserve's repo operations inject $30 billion.
- Potential for market rebound post-crisis resolution.
Bitcoin's decline is linked to a temporary U.S. dollar liquidity crunch caused by the Treasury General Account nearing $1 trillion during a prolonged U.S. government shutdown.
The liquidity squeeze pressures risk assets like BTC, with Federal Reserve repo operations aimed at injecting short-term liquidity to mitigate the impact.
The recent decline in Bitcoin is attributed to a temporary U.S. dollar liquidity crunch. This crunch is driven by a build-up in the Treasury General Account approaching $1 trillion amid a government shutdown.
In response, the Federal Reserve initiated emergency repo operations, injecting liquidity of nearly $30 billion. This action is accompanied by Treasury measures to sustain operations during the fiscal impasse.
"U.S. dollar liquidity is experiencing a structural tightening... This is specifically manifested in: The Treasury General Account (TGA) balance nearing $1 trillion, significantly siphoning off market liquidity; Short-term funding market pressures sharply rising." — ET, Researcher, SoSoValue Community.
The liquidity squeeze has affected risk assets, notably Bitcoin, as it experiences increased pressure. As a result, Bitcoin's price fluctuations reflect the broader impact on crypto markets.
The funding stress is highlighted by the SOFR-FDTR spread, which signals elevated interbank funding costs. This has created ripple effects in the financial domain, impacting various sectors and cryptocurrencies.
Historical parallels with the 2019 repo crisis suggest potential rebounds. Previous government shutdowns and fiscal resolutions have demonstrated similar recovery patterns once liquidity issues were addressed.
Experts predict a possible market rebound upon fiscal policy normalization. Data from past incidents indicate that both Bitcoin and DeFi sectors could recover swiftly following a resolution, driven by restored liquidity flows.
